tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Raleigh/Durham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:14 HOU → 17:38 DFW
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 60% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 DFW → 23:48 RDU
    AA 542 · American · 2h 44m · 58% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 34mHOU 16:14 to RDU 23:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.