tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Midland via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 16:14 HOU → 17:38 DFW
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 60% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DFW → 21:53 MAF
    AA 3541 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 18m · 77% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 39mHOU 16:14 to MAF 21:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.