tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Midland via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:14 HOU → 17:38 DFW
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 60% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 DFW → 19:50 MAF
    AA 3657 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 15m · 68% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 3h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip3h 36mHOU 16:14 to MAF 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.