tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Philadelphia via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 20:15 IAH → 21:55 LAX
    AA 5005 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 40m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:42 LAX → 07:57 PHL +1 day
    AA 2758 · American · 5h 15m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 42mIAH 20:15 to PHL 07:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.