tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:00 TYS → 13:59 ORD
    AA 5014 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 59m · 71% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:11 ORD → 18:54 BNA
    AA 3383 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 63% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 54mTYS 13:00 to BNA 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.