tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 09:44 CLT
    UA 5216 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:44 CLT → 13:12 XNA
    AA 5444 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 28m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 42mORD 06:30 to XNA 13:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.