tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dayton via Charlotte: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 09:44 CLT
    UA 5216 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:47 CLT → 13:31 DAY
    AA 5490 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 42m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 59mORD 06:30 to DAY 13:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.