tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via San Francisco: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:03 SBA → 17:29 SFO
    UA 5256 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 74% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 SFO → 23:19 SEA
    UA 1007 · United · 2h 25m · 66% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 16mSBA 16:03 to SEA 23:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.