tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:46 MSN → 17:01 ORD
    UA 5262 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 48% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 ORD → 21:29 CLT
    UA 1748 · United · 2h 14m · 43% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip4h 43mMSN 15:46 to CLT 21:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.