tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 15:46 MSN → 17:01 ORD
    UA 5262 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 48% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 ORD → 23:30 ATL
    UA 2770 · United · 2h 21m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 44mMSN 15:46 to ATL 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.