tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Appleton via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 18:20 DTW → 18:57 ORD
    UA 5264 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 70% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 ORD → 23:23 ATW
    UA 4495 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 23m · 88% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 03mDTW 18:20 to ATW 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.