tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Austin via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:20 DTW → 18:57 ORD
    UA 5264 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 70% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:58 ORD → 22:54 AUS
    UA 312 · United · 2h 56m · 68% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 34mDTW 18:20 to AUS 22:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.