tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:20 DTW → 18:57 ORD
    UA 5264 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 70% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ORD → 23:39 EWR
    UA 759 · United · 2h 32m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 19mDTW 18:20 to EWR 23:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.