tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 CLE → 06:40 ORD
    UA 5265 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:02 ORD → 11:03 PHX
    UA 2225 · United · 4h 01m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 03mCLE 06:00 to PHX 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.