tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hailey → San Francisco via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:38 SUN → 16:45 DEN
    UA 5268 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:54 DEN → 19:40 SFO
    UA 1007 · United · 2h 46m · 68% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Hailey). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 02mSUN 14:38 to SFO 19:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.