tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 17:38 AVL → 19:00 ORD
    UA 5289 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 22m · 61% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 00:53 EWR +1 day
    UA 1209 · United · 2h 23m · 68% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 15mAVL 17:38 to EWR 00:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.