tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Atlanta via Houston: arrives on time 45%

  1. 07:00 ASE → 10:47 IAH
    UA 5300 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 47m · 84% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 IAH → 17:54 ATL
    UA 1211 · United · 2h 14m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 188 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip8h 54mASE 07:00 to ATL 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.