tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 10%

  1. 18:44 ACV → 20:07 SFO
    UA 5305 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 33% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 SFO → 22:37 LAX
    UA 2850 · United · 1h 42m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection17%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 83% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (17%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip3h 53mACV 18:44 to LAX 22:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.