tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:03 MCI → 14:55 ORD
    UA 5309 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:49 ORD → 17:40 BNA
    UA 5665 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 51m · 58% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 37mMCI 13:03 to BNA 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.