tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → Seattle via San Francisco: arrives on time 52%

  1. 06:00 ACV → 07:09 SFO
    UA 5313 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 09m · 74% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:00 SFO → 11:15 SEA
    AS 1327 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 15mACV 06:00 to SEA 11:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.