tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Austin via San Francisco: arrives on time 58%

  1. 15:53 SMF → 17:05 SFO
    UA 5323 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 12m · 56% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:27 SFO → 00:13 AUS +1 day
    UA 2126 · United · 3h 46m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 20mSMF 15:53 to AUS 00:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.