tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 17:00 ORF → 18:41 ORD
    UA 5334 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 41m · 79% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:54 DTW
    UA 3475 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 54mORF 17:00 to DTW 23:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.