tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Boston via Chicago: arrives on time 21%

  1. 18:35 MEM → 20:40 ORD
    UA 5336 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 34% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:41 ORD → 01:14 BOS +1 day
    UA 1779 · United · 2h 33m · 68% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 39mMEM 18:35 to BOS 01:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.