tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 18:35 MEM → 20:40 ORD
    UA 5336 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 34% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 ORD → 00:34 IAH +1 day
    UA 2665 · United · 2h 54m · 76% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 59mMEM 18:35 to IAH 00:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.