tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 29%

  1. 18:35 MEM → 20:40 ORD
    UA 5336 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 34% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 ORD → 23:48 DEN
    UA 377 · United · 2h 58m · 72% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 13mMEM 18:35 to DEN 23:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.