tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:40 FAT → 19:44 SFO
    UA 5349 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 58% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 SFO → 22:48 PDX
    UA 2413 · United · 1h 58m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 08mFAT 18:40 to PDX 22:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.