tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:40 FAT → 19:44 SFO
    UA 5349 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 58% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 SFO → 22:37 LAX
    UA 2850 · United · 1h 42m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip3h 57mFAT 18:40 to LAX 22:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.