tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → Denver via San Francisco: arrives on time 61%

  1. 18:40 FAT → 19:44 SFO
    UA 5349 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 58% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 SFO → 00:47 DEN +1 day
    UA 301 · United · 2h 47m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Fresno). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 07mFAT 18:40 to DEN 00:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.