tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Boise via San Francisco: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:12 SNA → 17:50 SFO
    UA 5351 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 38m · 67% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 SFO → 21:40 BOI
    UA 5644 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 79% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 28mSNA 16:12 to BOI 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.