tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:10 DTW → 14:47 ORD
    UA 5381 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:54 ORD → 17:57 LAS
    UA 1875 · United · 4h 03m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 47mDTW 14:10 to LAS 17:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.