tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 22%

  1. 18:41 MSP → 20:30 ORD
    UA 5390 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 56% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:49 CLE
    UA 457 · United · 1h 29m · 57% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 08mMSP 18:41 to CLE 23:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.