tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 08:50 MKE → 10:00 ORD
    UA 5402 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 10m · 74% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 13:57 BWI
    UA 2653 · United · 2h 06m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 07mMKE 08:50 to BWI 13:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.