tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Dallas-Fort Worth via San Francisco: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:19 MSO → 17:50 SFO
    UA 5417 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 31m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 SFO → 00:37 DFW +1 day
    UA 2478 · United · 3h 47m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 18mMSO 16:19 to DFW 00:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.