tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wichita → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:48 ICT → 19:45 DEN
    UA 5418 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 57m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DEN → 21:59 PHX
    UA 1236 · United · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Wichita). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 11mICT 18:48 to PHX 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.