tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hailey → Denver via San Francisco: arrives on time 41%

  1. 07:40 SUN → 08:59 SFO
    UA 5423 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:38 SFO → 16:25 DEN
    F9 1094 · Frontier · 2h 47m · 43% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip8h 45mSUN 07:40 to DEN 16:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.