tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hailey → Chicago via San Francisco: arrives on time 47%

  1. 07:40 SUN → 08:59 SFO
    UA 5423 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 SFO → 18:35 ORD
    UA 2317 · United · 4h 35m · 50% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Hailey). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip9h 55mSUN 07:40 to ORD 18:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.