tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 26%

  1. 18:33 IND → 19:00 ORD
    UA 5435 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 64% on time, 9.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ORD → 21:45 BNA
    UA 2063 · United · 1h 48m · 51% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (9.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 12mIND 18:33 to BNA 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.