Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Madison → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 48%
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12:30 MSN → 13:42 ORDUA 5447 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 12m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:33 ORD → 16:31 DENUA 2803 · United · 2h 58m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 01mMSN 12:30 to DEN 16:31, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.