Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:29 TVC → 19:00 ORD
    UA 5469 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 82% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ORD → 21:41 MSP
    UA 2005 · United · 1h 44m · 58% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 12mTVC 18:29 to MSP 21:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.