tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 62%

  1. 18:29 TVC → 19:00 ORD
    UA 5469 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 82% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:54 DTW
    UA 3475 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 25mTVC 18:29 to DTW 23:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.