tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Midland → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 54%

  1. 17:23 MAF → 18:25 DEN
    UA 5472 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 02m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:46 DEN → 20:18 AUS +1 day
    F9 2890 · Frontier · 2h 15m · 65% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 38mMAF 17:23 to AUS 20:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.