tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Denver via Houston: arrives on time 57%

  1. 11:43 ASE → 15:40 IAH
    UA 5493 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 IAH → 20:14 DEN
    UA 1654 · United · 2h 55m · 66% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 31mASE 11:43 to DEN 20:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.