tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 15:47 ACV → 17:51 LAX
    UA 5506 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 04m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:09 LAX → 22:58 SEA
    AS 614 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 11mACV 15:47 to SEA 22:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.