tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 65%

  1. 13:54 MRY → 15:35 LAX
    UA 5523 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 41m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:35 LAX → 18:55 SFO
    DL 1559 · Delta · 1h 21m · 69% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 02mMRY 13:54 to SFO 18:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.