tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Newark via Denver: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:00 MSN → 06:42 DEN
    UA 5545 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 42m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 DEN → 13:27 EWR
    UA 2640 · United · 3h 47m · 90% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 27mMSN 05:00 to EWR 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.