tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:00 MSN → 06:42 DEN
    UA 5545 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 42m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:40 DEN → 09:35 PHX
    WN 431 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 35mMSN 05:00 to PHX 09:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.