tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → San Diego via San Francisco: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:00 MRY → 12:56 SFO
    UA 5557 · United, flown by SkyWest · 56m · 41% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:24 SFO → 18:09 SAN
    AS 3337 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 09mMRY 12:00 to SAN 18:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.