tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:08 MSP → 14:53 ORD
    UA 5570 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 ORD → 21:43 ORF
    UA 5686 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 28m · 46% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 35mMSP 13:08 to ORF 21:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.