tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Dulles via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 09:20 STL → 10:52 ORD
    UA 5572 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ORD → 16:30 IAD
    UA 2794 · United · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 10mSTL 09:20 to IAD 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.