tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 12:15 TVC → 12:45 ORD
    UA 5575 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:59 ORD → 17:34 DTW
    AA 3980 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 86% on time, 7.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 19mTVC 12:15 to DTW 17:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.